Predicting Financial Distress in a High-Stress Financial World
Mardi | 2010-06-01 B103 Adrian POP – Jérome COFFINET – Muriel TIESSET – Sébastien GALANTI The current global crisis offers a unique opportunity to investigate the leadingproperties of market indicators in an increasingly stressed environment and their usefulnessfrom a banking supervision perspective. One pool of relevant information that hasbeen overlooked so far in the empirical literature is the market for bank’s exchange-tradedoption contracts. In this paper, we first extract early-warning indicators from the pricesof the most actively traded option contracts […]