Countercyclical versus Procyclical Taylor Principles
Mardi | 2016-03-01 16h-17h20 Sully05 Jean-Bernard CHATELAIN – Kirsten RALF Assuming inflation is a forward variable in Taylor (1999) model, this paper finds opposite policy rule recommendations with countercyclical policy rule parameters (Taylor principle: inflation rule larger than one and bounded upwards) in the case of optimal policy under commitment versus pro-cyclical policy rule parameters (inflation rule parameter below zero) in the case of discretionary policy. For the observed high inertia of the Fed with tiny variations of the nominal […]