Anthony PARIS

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PARIS
Anthony

Maître de conférence

enseignant-chercheurs

Domaine de recherche : Économie Internationale et Développement Durable

Bureau : A202

E-mail : anthony.paris@univ-orleans.fr

CV : Consulter

Responsabilités

2022-     Membre du Conseil du LEO

2022-     Co-directeur du Master International Economics

2023-2024     Membre du Conseil Académique & Commission Recherche de l’Univ. d’Orléans

2021-2024     Référent Pédagogie Numérique de l’UFR Droit-Economie-Gestion

2021-2024      Co-organisateur du séminaire de recherche du LEO

Encadrement doctoral

2022-    Co-encadrement de Sarah Pouey « Changement climatique, évènements météorologiques extrêmes et dette publique »

Travaux

  • Publications dans des revues scientifiques
  • Ouvrages et rapports
  • Documents de travail et autres publications
  • Communications

2021

Determinants of solar photovoltaic deployment in the electricity mix : Do oil prices really matter?

Margaux Escoffier, Emmanuel Hache, Valérie Mignon, Anthony Paris

Energy Economics - 2021-05

This paper investigates the determinants of solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the electricity mix for a panelof OECD and BRICS countries from 1997 to 2016 by paying particular attention to the impact of oil market con-ditions. Relying on a nonlinear, regime-switching specification, we show that rising oil prices stimulate PV de-ployment only if their growth rate exceeds 6.7% per annum. Although wefind that various other determinantsmatter—with the influence of some of them depending on the situation on the oil market—public policies playa crucial role.
Lien HAL

Determinants of solar photovoltaic deployment in the electricity mix: Do oil prices really matter?

Valérie Mignon, Margaux Escoffier, Anthony Paris, Emmanuel Hache

Energy Economics - 2021

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

2018

On the link between oil and agricultural commodity prices: Do biofuels matter?

Anthony Paris

International Economics - 2018-10

Résumé non disponible.

Lien HAL

On the current account-biofuels link in emerging and developing countries: do oil price fluctuations matter? *

Gabriel B. Gomes, Emmanuel Hache, Valerie Mignon, Anthony Paris

Energy Policy - 2018-05

Many developed countries promote the use of biofuels for environmental concerns, leading to a rise in the price of agricultural commodities utilized in their production. Such environmental policies have major effects on the economy of emerging and developing countries whose activity is highly dependent on agricultural commodities involved in biofuel production. This paper tackles this issue by examining the price impact of biofuels on the current account for a panel of 16 developing and emerging countries, and the potential nonlinear effect exerted by the price of oil on this relationship. Relying on the estimation of panel smooth-transition regression models, we show that positive shocks in the price of biofuels lead to a current-account improvement for agricultural commodity exporters (resp. producers) only when the price of oil is below 45 (resp. 56) US dollars per barrel. When the price of oil exceeds these thresholds, the effect of fluctuations in the price of biofuels on the current account tends to weaken and become non significant. Under these conditions, our findings indicate that, for agricultural commodity exporters which are also oil importers, the current account is pulled by two opposite forces, making its overall reaction modest or even nil. JEL Classification: Q16; Q43; F32; C23.. We would like to thank Cécile Couharde, Anne-Laure Delatte and Sébastien Jean for helpful comments and suggestions.
Lien HAL

On the link between oil and agricultural commodity prices: Do biofuels matter?

Anthony Paris

International Economics - 2018

The aim of this paper is to investigate the long-term effect of the price of oil on agricultural commodity prices by accounting for the influence of biofuel production. Relying on the estimation of nonlinear, cointegrating regime-switching processes, we show that biofuel development has led to an increase in the oil-price effect on agricultural commodity prices: the growing production of biofuels is contributing to the price rise of agricultural commodities. This result underlines the importance of considering alternative biofuels which are not produced from agricultural commodities, and of analyzing the potential effects of the second-generation biofuels derived from agricultural plant residuals or non-food plants.
Lien HAL

Aucune publication disponible pour le moment.

2021

Estimating discrete choice experiments : theoretical fundamentals

Benoit Chèze, Charles Collet, Anthony Paris

2021-04-12

This working paper overviews theoretical foundations and estimators derived from econometric models used to analyze stated choices proposed in Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE)surveys. Discrete Choice Modelling is adapted to the case where the variable to be explained is a qualitative variable which cannot be ranked in relation to each other. A situation which occurs in many cases in everyday life as people often have to choose only one alternative among a proposed set of different ones in many fields (early in the morning, just think about how you pick clothes for instance). DCE is a Stated Preference method in which preferences are elicited through repeated fictional choices, proposed to a sample of respondents. Compared to Revealed Preference methods, DCEs allow for an ex ante evaluation of public policies that do not yet exists.
Lien HAL

2019

Determinants of investments in solar photovoltaic: Do oil prices really matter?

Margaux Escoffier, Emmanuel Hache, Valérie Mignon, Anthony Paris

2019

This paper investigates the determinants of solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the electricity mix for a panel of OECD and BRICS countries from 1997 to 2016 by paying particular attention to the impact of oil market conditions. Relying on a nonlinear, regime-switching specification, we show that rising oil prices stimulate PV deployment only if their growth rate is important, above 6.7%. Although we find that various other determinants matter—with the influence of some of them depending on the situation on the oil market—public policies play a crucial role. In particular, our findings show that feed-in-tariffs should be encouraged to ensure a continuous fight against climate change, whatever the dynamics followed by oil prices.
Lien HAL

2018

Market Efficiency and Optimal Hedging Strategy for the US Ethanol Market

Emmanuel Hache, Anthony Paris

2018

The aim of this paper is to study the ethanol price dynamics in the US market and find the optimal hedging strategy. To this end, we first attempt to identify the long-term relationship between ethanol spot prices and the prices of futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). Then, we model the short-term dynamics between these two prices using a Markov-switching vector error correction model (Ms-VECM). Finally, accounting for the variance dynamics using a Gjr-MGarch error structure, we compute a time-varying hedge ratio and determine the optimal hedging strategy in the US ethanol market.
Lien HAL

2017

On the current account - biofuels link in emerging and developing countries: do oil price fluctuations matter?

Gabriel Gomes, Emmanuel Hache, Valérie Mignon, Anthony Paris

2017

Many developed countries promote the use of biofuels for environmental concerns, leading to a rise in the price of agricultural commodities utilized in their production. Such environmental policies have major effects on the economy of emerging and developing countries whose activity is highly dependent on agricultural commodities involved in biofuel production. This paper tackles this issue by examining the price impact of biofuels on the current account for a panel of 16 developing and emerging countries, and the potential nonlinear effect exerted by the price of oil on this relationship. Relying on the estimation of panel smooth-transition regression models, we show that positive shocks in the price of biofuels lead to a current-account improvement for agricultural commodity exporters and producers only when the price of oil is below a certain threshold. When the price of oil exceeds this threshold, uctuations in the price of biofuels no longer affect the current account. These findings illustrate that a rise in the price of oil exerts a negative effect on the trade balance of commodity exporters which are also oil importers, dampening the biofuel price impact on the current-account position.
Lien HAL

2016

The Effect of Biofuels on the Link between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Smooth Transition Cointegration Approach

Anthony Paris

2016-04

Given the few studies highlighting the existence of an oil-price effect on agricultural commodity prices in the last decade, we sought to demonstrate the role of first-generation biofuel production in such a relationship. Relying on a smooth transition cointegration approach, we show that biofuel development has led to an increase in the long-term price effect of oil on agricultural commodity prices. Thus, the increasing production of biofuels contributes to the price rise of agricultural commodities. This result underlines the importance of accelerating second-generation biofuel production to replace first-generation biofuels.
Lien HAL

The Effect of Biofuels on the Link between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Smooth Transition Cointegration Approach

Anthony Paris

2016

Given the few studies highlighting the existence of an oil-price effect on agricultural commodity prices in the last decade, we sought to demonstrate the role of first-generation biofuel production in such a relationship. Relying on a smooth transition cointegration approach, we show that biofuel development has led to an increase in the long-term price effect of oil on agricultural commodity prices. Thus, the increasing production of biofuels contributes to the price rise of agricultural commodities. This result underlines the importance of accelerating second-generation biofuel production to replace first-generation biofuels
Lien HAL

2021

Oil market uncertainty, Google searches and extreme stock market volatility

Anthony Paris

2021

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

2019

Citizen involvement in the energy transition: Highlighting the role played by the spatial heterogeneity of preferences in the public acceptance of biofuels

Anthony Paris

2019

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

Market Efficiency and Optimal Hedging Strategy for the US Ethanol Market

Anthony Paris

2019

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

Determinants of solar photovoltaic deployment in the electricity mix: Do oil prices really matter?

Valérie Mignon, Margaux Escoffier, Emmanuel Hache, Anthony Paris

2019

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

Citizen involvement in the energy transition: Highlighting the role played by the spatial heterogeneity of preferences in the public acceptance of biofuels

Anthony Paris

2019

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

2018

Citizens in energy transition: Analizing the case of biofuels acceptance

Anthony Paris

2018

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

On the current account – biofuels link in emerging and developing countries: do oil price fluctuations matter?

Anthony Paris

2018

Forthcoming
Lien HAL

2017

Efficiency Market Hypothesis and Optimal Hedge Ratio of the Ethanol Market

Anthony Paris, Emmanuel Hache

2017

The aim of this paper is to study the ethanol price dynamics in the US market and find the optimal hedging strategy. To this end, we first attempt to identify the long-term relationship between ethanol spot prices and the prices of futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). Then, we model the short-term dynamics between these two prices using a Markov-switching vector error correction model (Ms-VECM). Finally, accounting for the variance dynamics using a Gjr-MGarch error structure, we compute a time-varying hedge ratio and determine the optimal hedging strategy in the US ethanol market.
Lien HAL

Efficiency and Optimal Hedge Ratio of the Ethanol Market in the US

Anthony Paris, Emmanuel Hache

2017

The aim of this paper is to study the ethanol price dynamics in the US market and find the optimal hedging strategy. To this end, we first attempt to identify the long-term relationship between ethanol spot prices and the prices of futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). Then, we model the short-term dynamics between these two prices using a Markov-switching vector error correction model (Ms-VECM). Finally, accounting for the variance dynamics using a Gjr-MGarch error structure, we compute a time-varying hedge ratio and determine the optimal hedging strategy in the US ethanol market.
Lien HAL

2016

The Effect of Biofuels on the Link between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Smooth Transition Cointegration Approach

Anthony Paris

2016

The aim of this paper is to investigate the long-term effect of the price of oil on agricultural commodity prices by accounting for the influence of biofuel production. Relying on the estimation of nonlinear, cointegrating regime-switching processes, we show that biofuel development has led to an increase in the oil-price effect on agricultural commodity prices: the growing production of biofuels is contributing to the price rise of agricultural commodities. This result underlines the importance of considering alternative biofuels which are not produced from agricultural commodities, and of analyzing the potential effects of the second-generation biofuels derived from agricultural plant residuals or non-food plants.
Lien HAL